3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
3,788 sqft ·
Built 1998
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,298/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,765
Tax + insurance
−$1,015
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$903
Net cashflow
$-4,385/mo
Annual
$-52,618/yr
Cap rate
2.21%
Cash-on-cash
-14.57%
DSCR
0.35
1% rule
0.33%
Cash to close
$361,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $1.29M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4k ($-53k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $515k (60.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $430k (66.7% below list).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.25M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $430k (66.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $82k of equity ($9k loan paydown + $73k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Wells-Ogunquit CSD (rural): math 87% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #32 of 112 in ME (top 29%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $565k; list at $1.29M implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$131k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 67% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P76X4QFT98V4ME
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29