4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,740 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 321 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,464/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$201
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$307
Net cashflow
$614/mo
Annual
$7,373/yr
Cap rate
17.64%
Cash-on-cash
40.51%
DSCR
2.80
1% rule
2.25%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $614 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 321 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Martin El (math 3% / reading 6%, grade F, #4,322 of 4,322 statewide, top 100%, 486 students, 97% FRL); Smith Middle (math 4% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,659 of 1,662 statewide, top 100%, 475 students, 90% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 69% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 5% at this address vs 18% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Beaumont ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,464/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 657% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 321 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P78N8B6Q1WBRSZ
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29