3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
875 sqft ·
Built 1999
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 119 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$953/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$122
Tax + insurance
−$30
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$601/mo
Annual
$7,213/yr
Cap rate
37.38%
Cash-on-cash
111.01%
DSCR
5.94
1% rule
4.11%
Cash to close
$6,497
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $23k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $601 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($953 rent vs $23k).
It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($21k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $21k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $638 of equity ($161 loan paydown + $477 appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
9 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 37.4% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P7CNBKEVYCF763
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29