3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,269 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 435 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,270/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$576
Tax + insurance
−$187
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$267
Net cashflow
$240/mo
Annual
$2,880/yr
Cap rate
8.91%
Cash-on-cash
9.36%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$30,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 435 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Cranberry Area SD (rural): math 32% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #327 of 539 in PA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cranberry El Sch (math 29% / reading 53%, grade F, #932 of 1,518 statewide, top 62%, 606 students, 46% FRL); Cranberry Area Jshs (math 35% / reading 47%, grade F, #251 of 437 statewide, top 58%, 557 students, 41% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $85k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.4% in Cranberry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 435 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exposed wiring in kitchen and bath
— Exposed wiring indicates a significant electrical issue that needs immediate attention.
Major: Peeling siding and chipping paint
— Severe exterior damage requires extensive repair or replacement.
Major: Worn flooring
— The flooring is in poor condition and will need replacement or significant repair.
Major: Water damage on interior walls
— Significant water damage requires extensive repairs to prevent further structural damage.
Major: Old HVAC system
— The HVAC system appears outdated and may need replacement to improve energy efficiency and comfort.
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· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29