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687 Route 157
B+ Composite 75.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$109,900

687 Route 157 · Cranberry, PA 16301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,269 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 384 Days on market
Built 1954 2.30 ac lot $87/sqft · 37% below area Est $175k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cape Cod Home on 2.3 Acres in Cranberry Township , Venango County. Home has 3 Bedrooms and 1.5 Baths with attached 2 Car garage. Property is being SOLD AS IS AND NO WARRANTY! All Offers must be submitted via PropOffers.com web-site by the Realtor.

Key facts

  • 2.3 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1954

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $310 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cranberry Area SD (rural): math 32% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #327 of 539 in PA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
  • Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 384 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $85k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $96,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 384 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.68%
Cash-on-cash
12.09%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$175,114
List price
$109,900
Delta
-37.24%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
124 Kings Hwy 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-15%) 22mo $129,400 $120 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.9%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$28,290
Equity at exit
$44,397
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
3.57×
Total profit
$79,156
Equity at exit
$64,748

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16301

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,359 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$141 /mo · $1,697/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$310

Break-even live

Break-even rent $966
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 384 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 383 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 382 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 381 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,900 Active 379 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $109,900 Active 378 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 375 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 374 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 373 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 372 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,900 Active 369 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 368 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 367 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 366 DOM
  15. 2026-04-27
    price $109,900 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Cape Cod Home on 2.3 Acres in Cranberry Township , Venango County. Home has 3 Bedrooms and 1.5 Baths with attached 2 Car garage. Property is being SOLD AS IS AND NO WARRANTY! All Offers must be submitted via PropOffers.com web-site by the Realtor.

  16. 2025-11-25
    price $122,500 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Cape Cod Home on 2.3 Acres in Cranberry Township , Venango County. Home has 3 Bedrooms and 1.5 Baths with attached 2 Car garage. Property is being SOLD AS IS AND NO WARRANTY! All Offers must be submitted via PropOffers.com web-site by the Realtor.

  17. 2025-06-10
    price $139,900 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Cape Cod Home on 2.3 Acres in Cranberry Township , Venango County. Home has 3 Bedrooms and 1.5 Baths with attached 2 Car garage. Property is being SOLD AS IS AND NO WARRANTY! All Offers must be submitted via PropOffers.com web-site by the Realtor.

  18. 2025-05-31
    listed $149,900 Active 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Cape Cod Home on 2.3 Acres in Cranberry Township , Venango County. Home has 3 Bedrooms and 1.5 Baths with attached 2 Car garage. Property is being SOLD AS IS AND NO WARRANTY! All Offers must be submitted via PropOffers.com web-site by the Realtor.

  19. 2025-02-17
    price $149,900 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Adorable, fully updated Cape Cod on a fantastic 2+ acre lot. Enjoy the serene surroundings from the extra-large deck off the rear. Home features a large eat-in kitchen, main floor laundry, stone fireplace in the living room and so much more!

  20. 2024-10-21
    listed $164,900 Active 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Adorable, fully updated Cape Cod on a fantastic 2+ acre lot. Enjoy the serene surroundings from the extra-large deck off the rear. Home features a large eat-in kitchen, main floor laundry, stone fireplace in the living room and so much more!

  21. 2024-08-14
    historical Expired
  22. 2024-07-26
    price $164,900
  23. 2024-01-09
    price $175,000
  24. 2023-12-13
    price $185,000
  25. 2023-08-15
    listed $209,900 Active
  26. 2007-10-17
    soldstatus $85,000
  27. 2007-10-17
    soldstatus $85,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,697 · $141/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,717 · $143/mo
Expected delta
+$20/yr (+$2/mo · 1.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,307
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$1,697
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,305
− Management
−$1,305
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$2,098
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$504
After-tax cash flow
$3,217/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cranberry Area SD
NCES district ID
4207050
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$47,410
Composite
35.82/100
National rank
#4827
State rank
#327 of 539 in PA

Livability — Cranberry

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
15,067

Population outlook (Venango County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,827 people
By 2030
46,061 · -5.7%
By 2040
39,989 · -18.1%
By 2050
34,094 · -30.2%
By 2075
22,500 · -53.9%
By 2100
13,659 · -72.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Iranian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Venango

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+41.4 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.18%
Current HPI
218.0124
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+29.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $109,900 AVBREALTORS
  • 2025-11-25 Price Changed $122,500 AVBREALTORS
  • 2025-06-10 Price Changed $139,900 AVBREALTORS
  • 2025-05-31 Listed $149,900 AVBREALTORS
  • 2025-02-17 Price Changed $149,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-10-21 Listed $164,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-08-14 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2024-07-26 Price Changed $164,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-01-09 Price Changed $175,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2023-12-13 Price Changed $185,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2023-08-15 Listed $209,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2007-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2007-10-17 Sold (MLS) $85,000 AVBREALTORS

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,697 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…