3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,467 sqft ·
Built 2012
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,113/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$589
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$444
Net cashflow
$-257/mo
Annual
$-3,081/yr
Cap rate
5.08%
Cash-on-cash
-4.31%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-257 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (17.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (17.1% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($247k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $210k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#127 in TX, #3,880 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Anna ISD (rural): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #271 of 826 in TX (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Joe K Bryant El (math 45% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,437 of 4,322 statewide, top 34%, 626 students, 53% FRL); Anna Middle (math 39% / reading 37%, grade F, #717 of 1,662 statewide, top 44%, 1,089 students, 51% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 1199 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.6% in Anna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P8JGPZDYT02Z5N
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29