1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
610 sqft ·
Built 1987
· Condo
· Active
· 99 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,104/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,278
Tax + insurance
−$1,042
HOA
−$976
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,072
Net cashflow
$-1,263/mo
Annual
$-15,159/yr
Cap rate
3.87%
Cash-on-cash
-8.66%
DSCR
0.61
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$175,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $625k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $442k (29.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $510k (18.3% below list).
It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($569k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $442k (29.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $32k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $178k; list at $625k implies a 251% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-P8R7W8FD0QVBD9
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29