2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
776 sqft ·
Built 1916
· Condo
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,422/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,988
Tax + insurance
−$632
HOA
−$83
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$719
Net cashflow
$1/mo
Annual
$15/yr
Cap rate
6.30%
Cash-on-cash
0.01%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$106,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $379k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1 ($15/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $342k (9.7% below list).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($368k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $342k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#15 in MA, #654 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Cambridge (urban): math 42% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #117 of 302 in MA (top 39%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,670 units permitted in Middlesex County in 2024 (2,611 in 5+ unit buildings).
Middlesex County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $76k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $106k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 1.8% in Cambridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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