4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,354 sqft ·
Built 1939
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,412/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$131
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$296
Net cashflow
$486/mo
Annual
$5,830/yr
Cap rate
12.43%
Cash-on-cash
21.92%
DSCR
1.98
1% rule
1.49%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $486 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#66 in MN, #1,651 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Westbrook-Walnut Grove Schools (rural): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #213 of 301 in MN (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Redwood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Redwood County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P91XV7806A6ZA2
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29