3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
974 sqft ·
Built 1942
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 82 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,355/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$179
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$315/mo
Annual
$3,776/yr
Cap rate
9.73%
Cash-on-cash
12.26%
DSCR
1.55
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#593 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, schools F, crime F.
Romulus Community Schools (suburban): math 9% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #498 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 215 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
25 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $110k implies a 340% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.2% in Romulus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P921ZM8YKP3GP2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29