2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,278 sqft ·
Built 1996
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,241/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$38
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$-94/mo
Annual
$-1,126/yr
Cap rate
5.54%
Cash-on-cash
-2.68%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $136k (9.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (17.2% below list).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $124k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#743 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
La Joya ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #759 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Henry B Gonzalez El (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 490 students, 91% FRL); Ann Richards Middle (math 21% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,236 of 1,662 statewide, top 76%, 729 students, 96% FRL); La Joya H S (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,333 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 2,775 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 54% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 474 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: bathroom cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: HVAC unit
— visible and likely needs cleaning
CashFlowRE · CFR-P933WFC2S4XKA1
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29