3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,772 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Townhouse
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,086/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$358
HOA
−$385
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,068
Net cashflow
$1,701/mo
Annual
$20,416/yr
Cap rate
13.10%
Cash-on-cash
24.31%
DSCR
2.08
1% rule
1.70%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $300k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $296k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#281 in FL, #4,513 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Linda Lentin K-8 Center (math 27% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 674 students, 76% FRL); North Miami Beach Senior High (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #568 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,149 students, 66% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $145k; list at $300k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 3.5% in Golden Glades — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,086/mo this rent would consume 105% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 3226% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PA9R035SK4GKB7
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29