3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,488 sqft ·
Built 1926
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 194 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,209/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$317
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$254
Net cashflow
$-43/mo
Annual
$-518/yr
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.42%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-518/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $122k (5.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (6.9% below list).
It's been on market 194 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in IN, #676 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
Fort Wayne Community Schools (urban): math 22% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #263 of 301 in IN (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: South Wayne Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #837 of 994 statewide, top 86%, 362 students, 88% FRL); Portage Middle School (math 8% / reading 18%, grade F, #304 of 330 statewide, top 94%, 436 students, 79% FRL); South Side High School (math 12% / reading 39%, grade F, #322 of 369 statewide, top 87%, 1,423 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 60% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $130k implies a 225% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.7% in Fort Wayne — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 194 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PAK8HX5SG3V2KR
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29