4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,312 sqft ·
Built 2003
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,843/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,977
Tax + insurance
−$240
HOA
−$34
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$597
Net cashflow
$-5/mo
Annual
$-58/yr
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.06%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$105,560
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $377k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-58/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $376k (0.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $284k (24.6% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $284k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#211 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lovin Elementary School (math 31% / reading 38%, grade F, #531 of 1,228 statewide, top 45%, 893 students, 63% FRL); Mcconnell Middle School (math 39% / reading 51%, grade D, #103 of 470 statewide, top 23%, 2,176 students, 51% FRL); Archer High School (math 32% / reading 33%, grade F, #104 of 424 statewide, top 25%, 3,134 students, 43% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 429 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.0% in Dacula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PAYJ2G3YY6KN0W
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29