1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
604 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Condo
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,513/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,563
Tax + insurance
−$347
HOA
−$595
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$528
Net cashflow
$-519/mo
Annual
$-6,227/yr
Cap rate
4.20%
Cash-on-cash
-7.46%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$83,440
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $298k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-519 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (30.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $251k (15.7% below list).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($289k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $206k (30.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#67 in MD, #2,463 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living F.
Montgomery County Public Schools (suburban): math 27% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #3 of 24 in MD (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Somerset Elementary (math 43% / reading 55%, grade D, #43 of 860 statewide, top 5%, 338 students, 21% FRL); Westland Middle (math 30% / reading 65%, grade C-, #12 of 225 statewide, top 5%, 845 students, 18% FRL); Bethesda-Chevy Chase High (math 71% / reading 87%, grade A-, #19 of 222 statewide, top 8%, 2,335 students, 26% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 58% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Montgomery County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 513 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,880 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (2,054 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 0.8% in Bethesda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($195k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PB9125E9D7MD0G
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29