5 bd · 3.5 ba ·
4,152 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$17,140/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,714
Tax + insurance
−$2,020
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,599
Net cashflow
$6,806/mo
Annual
$81,670/yr
Cap rate
15.38%
Cash-on-cash
32.44%
DSCR
2.44
1% rule
1.91%
Cash to close
$251,720
Investor read
This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $899k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($82k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($17k rent vs $899k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($886k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $886k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#315 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
Port Chester-Rye Union Free School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #428 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Park Avenue School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #1,195 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 446 students, 66% FRL); Port Chester Middle School (math 20% / reading 43%, grade F, #522 of 729 statewide, top 73%, 971 students, 75% FRL); Port Chester Senior High School (math 88% / reading 92%, grade A+, #238 of 1,100 statewide, top 23%, 1,555 students, 73% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 4.3% in Port Chester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $17,140/mo this rent would consume 195% of the median local household income ($106k/yr) (locally 1362% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29