5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,358 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,203/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$671
Tax + insurance
−$334
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$463
Net cashflow
$735/mo
Annual
$8,823/yr
Cap rate
13.19%
Cash-on-cash
24.62%
DSCR
2.10
1% rule
1.72%
Cash to close
$35,840
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $128k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $735 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $368/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $885 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#195 in PA, #1,671 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment D.
Iroquois SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #236 of 539 in PA (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PBJCDK19XEA4EQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29