3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,618 sqft ·
Built 1989
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 141 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,342/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,883
Tax + insurance
−$598
HOA
−$999
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$702
Net cashflow
$-839/mo
Annual
$-10,073/yr
Cap rate
3.49%
Cash-on-cash
-10.02%
DSCR
0.55
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$100,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $359k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-839 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (33.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $334k (6.9% below list).
It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($316k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $238k (33.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-868 appreciation (-0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#351 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities D+, crime D-, commute F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hagen Road Elementary School (math 55% / reading 63%, grade B-, #722 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 773 students, 46% FRL); Carver Middle School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #486 of 571 statewide, top 86%, 732 students, 73% FRL); Boynton Beach Community High (math 13% / reading 25%, grade F, #565 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,547 students, 65% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 35% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 590 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 77d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $160k; list at $359k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,342/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PC7F7T85DRBS52
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29