1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Condo
· Active
· 135 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,583/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$320
HOA
−$704
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$332
Net cashflow
$-455/mo
Annual
$-5,464/yr
Cap rate
2.09%
Cash-on-cash
-15.01%
DSCR
0.33
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-455 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $64k (50.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $64k (50.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 94/100 on livability (#3 in PA, #7 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living D.
Jenkintown SD (suburban): math 47% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #49 of 539 in PA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 38 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $68k; list at $130k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 2.1% vs local median 1.5% in Jenkintown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($110k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 51% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-PD951J10G2T39V
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29