2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,232 sqft ·
Built 1997
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,128/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$220
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$-116/mo
Annual
$-1,387/yr
Cap rate
5.37%
Cash-on-cash
-3.30%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-116 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (13.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (24.8% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (24.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#514 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Lewiston-Altura Public School District (rural): math 31% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #208 of 301 in MN (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 37 units permitted in Winona County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Winona County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PDHKXY62DRZQSJ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29