2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
576 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Active
· 310 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$792/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$166
Net cashflow
$4/mo
Annual
$48/yr
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.19%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4 ($48/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $79k (12.0% below list).
It's been on market 310 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#153 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Nashville School District (town): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #81 of 238 in AR (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Nashville Primary School (math 57% / reading 32%, grade F, #143 of 454 statewide, top 36%, 601 students, 73% FRL); Nashville Junior High School (math 27% / reading 45%, grade F, #117 of 201 statewide, top 58%, 465 students, 70% FRL); Nashville High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #213 of 292 statewide, top 77%, 465 students, 70% FRL).
Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Howard County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.5% in Nashville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 310 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PDSKDK31XX5H9P
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29