521 S Ansley St · Nashville, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEW CONSTRUCTION 2 Bed, 1 Full Bath with approx. 1056 Sq. Ft. of living space located in the heart of Nashville. Great Rental Property.
Key facts
- 0.5 acre lot
- Built 2024
- Listed 308 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4 ($48/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $79k (12.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.5% in Nashville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#153 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Nashville School District (town): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #81 of 238 in AR (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Nashville Primary School (math 57% / reading 32%, grade F, #143 of 454 statewide, top 36%, 601 students, 73% FRL); Nashville Junior High School (math 27% / reading 45%, grade F, #117 of 201 statewide, top 58%, 465 students, 70% FRL); Nashville High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #213 of 292 statewide, top 77%, 465 students, 70% FRL).
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
- Howard County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 309 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 309 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.19%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,398
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -7.60%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
4.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $16,943
- Equity at exit
- $46,674
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $53,148
- Equity at exit
- $77,182
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71852
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $792 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$166
- Net cashflow
- $4
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $66 | -5% $35 | +0% $4 | +5% $-27 | +10% $-58 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-59 | -5% $-27 | +0% $4 | +5% $35 | +10% $67 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $49 | -0.5pp $27 | base $4 | +0.5pp $-19 | +1.0pp $-43 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $90,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $90,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $90,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $90,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2025-11-05status Back on Market 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
NEW CONSTRUCTION 2 Bed, 1 Full Bath with approx. 1056 Sq. Ft. of living space located in the heart of Nashville. Great Rental Property.
-
2025-10-14status Under Contract 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
NEW CONSTRUCTION 2 Bed, 1 Full Bath with approx. 1056 Sq. Ft. of living space located in the heart of Nashville. Great Rental Property.
-
2025-07-22$90,000 New Listing 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
NEW CONSTRUCTION 2 Bed, 1 Full Bath with approx. 1056 Sq. Ft. of living space located in the heart of Nashville. Great Rental Property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,509
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$761
- − Management
- −$761
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable loss
- −$1,472
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$353
- After-tax cash flow
- $402/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nashville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0510380
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,746
- Composite
- 32.48/100
- National rank
- #5708
- State rank
- #81 of 238 in AR
Livability — Nashville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #153
- US rank
- #13205
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Nashville, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,088
Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,642 people
- By 2030
- 12,218 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 11,470 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 10,874 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 10,517 · -16.8%
- By 2100
- 10,929 · -13.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% German/W. Germanic 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Howard
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.7) · D 25.9% · R 72.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -46.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.7 2020: R+41.9 2016: R+39.0 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.20%
- Current HPI
- 250.2966
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-05 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2025-10-14 Pending — CARMLS
- 2025-07-22 Listed $90,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2023): $116 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…