67811 Candle Ct

Nikolaevsk, AK 99556

$108,900C-

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 593 sqft · Built 2010 · Other · Active · 25 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,030/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$571
• Tax + insurance: −$182
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$216
• Net cashflow: $61/mo
• Annual: $733/yr
• Cap rate: 6.97%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.40%
• DSCR: 1.11
• 1% rule: 0.95%
• Cash to close: $30,492

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $109k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($733/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (5.4% below list).
• It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $103k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($753 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 54/100 on livability (#164 in AK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
• Kenai Peninsula Borough School District (rural): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #8 of 21 in AK (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Chapman School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #70 of 156 statewide, top 46%, 160 students, 48% FRL); Homer Flex School (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #10 of 61 statewide, top 15%, 36 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 31% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 152 units permitted in Kenai Peninsula Borough in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Kenai Peninsula County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.