3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 377 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,610/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$534
Tax + insurance
−$170
HOA
−$325
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$338
Net cashflow
$243/mo
Annual
$2,917/yr
Cap rate
9.16%
Cash-on-cash
10.22%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.58%
Cash to close
$28,532
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $102k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $102k).
It's been on market 377 days — a 12% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $90k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $705 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#51 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities F.
Fruitland District (town): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #60 of 92 in ID (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 230 units permitted in Payette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.0% in Fruitland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 377 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PF29FP1CKFY2W6
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29