3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,404 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Manufactured
· Active
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,781/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$383
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$374
Net cashflow
$28/mo
Annual
$335/yr
Cap rate
6.89%
Cash-on-cash
2.13%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($335/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (6.2% below list).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $178k (6.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Daviess County (suburban): math 33% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #43 of 165 in KY (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Deer Park Elementary School (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #208 of 676 statewide, top 34%, 480 students, 58% FRL); College View Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #125 of 217 statewide, top 63%, 863 students, 50% FRL); Daviess County High School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #37 of 254 statewide, top 15%, 1,740 students, 42% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 226 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PFF763AZ3ARG3E
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29