10331 Hwy 231 · Pleasant Ridge, KY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 10331 Hwy 231 in Utica, KY, the one you’ve been waiting for! This charming 3 bedroom, 2 full bathroom home sits back off the road on a little over an acre, giving you the perfect mix of privacy, space, and convenience. Inside, you’ll love the functional split-bedroom concept, offering a private primary suite separate from the additional bedrooms. The home has a comfortable layout that makes everyday living easy, with room to relax, gather, and make it your own. Outside is where this property really shines! Enjoy a fenced-in backyard, a storage building, and a large detached building with concrete floors and electric, perfect for a workshop, hobbies, storage, equipment
Key facts
- Built 1999
- Listed 48 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured home (single-family); 1 story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Porch; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($335/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (6.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $178k (6.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Daviess County (suburban): math 33% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #43 of 165 in KY (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Deer Park Elementary School (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #208 of 676 statewide, top 34%, 480 students, 58% FRL); College View Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #125 of 217 statewide, top 63%, 863 students, 50% FRL); Daviess County High School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #37 of 254 statewide, top 15%, 1,740 students, 42% FRL).
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 226 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.13%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-28,928
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-22,628
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42376
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,781 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$237 /mo · $2,848/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$374
- Net cashflow
- $28
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $159 | -5% $94 | +0% $28 | +5% $-38 | +10% $-103 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-113 | -5% $-42 | +0% $28 | +5% $98 | +10% $169 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $124 | -0.5pp $76 | base $28 | +0.5pp $-21 | +1.0pp $-71 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $189,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $189,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $189,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $189,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $189,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $189,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $199,900
-
2026-05-12price $204,900
-
2026-05-04$209,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$2,848
- − Insurance
- −$1,747
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,709
- − Management
- −$1,709
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$2,808
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$674
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,009/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It has a good kitchen, bathrooms, and exterior. The home is move-in ready with minor maintenance items to address.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale painting — Fresh paint can make a home look more inviting and modern.
- Both landscaping — Landscaping can enhance curb appeal and add value to the property.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale painting — Fresh paint can make a home look more inviting and modern. ↑
- Both landscaping — Landscaping can enhance curb appeal and add value to the property. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Daviess County
- NCES district ID
- 2101470
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,303
- Composite
- 32.2/100
- National rank
- #5778
- State rank
- #43 of 165 in KY
Livability — Pleasant Ridge
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pleasant Ridge, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,800
Population outlook (Daviess County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 103,810 people
- By 2030
- 105,722 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 108,731 · +4.7%
- By 2050
- 110,295 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 113,056 · +8.9%
- By 2100
- 106,257 · +2.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, South Korea
Political lean MEDSL · Daviess
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.3% · R 65.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -31.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.9 2020: R+27.9 2016: R+32.2 2012: R+21.1 2008: R+10.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.02%
- Current HPI
- 229.5493
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
-4.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $199,900 GORAMLS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $204,900 GORAMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $209,900 GORAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…