3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,147 sqft ·
Built 2003
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,489/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$277
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$313
Net cashflow
$9/mo
Annual
$104/yr
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.22%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($104/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (12.4% below list).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $149k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#288 in OH, #4,745 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D, crime F.
North College Hill City (suburban): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #637 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: North College Hill Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,293 of 1,584 statewide, top 83%, 481 students, 0% FRL); North College Hill Middle School (math 11% / reading 22%, grade F, #622 of 654 statewide, top 95%, 430 students, 0% FRL); North College Hill High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #701 of 781 statewide, top 90%, 333 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 75% district-wide (75 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 57 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $170k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29