3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1995
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,179/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$265
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$458
Net cashflow
$-12/mo
Annual
$-147/yr
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.19%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$78,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-147/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $278k (0.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (22.2% below list).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $218k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#85 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, commute F.
York 02 (rural): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #2 of 80 in SC (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Bethel Elementary (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #73 of 597 statewide, top 12%, 340 students, 27% FRL); Oakridge Middle (math 60% / reading 62%, grade B+, #12 of 229 statewide, top 5%, 1,154 students, 26% FRL); Clover High (math 86% / reading 94%, grade A+, #4 of 196 statewide, top 2%, 2,685 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 29% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 359 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,550 units permitted in York County in 2024 (350 in 5+ unit buildings).
York County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $280k implies a 522% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.5% in Lake Wylie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PJET3M2Z7H6ENG
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29