3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
938 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Manufactured
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,675/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$304
Tax + insurance
−$96
HOA
−$1,000
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$352
Net cashflow
$-77/mo
Annual
$-923/yr
Cap rate
4.70%
Cash-on-cash
-5.69%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
2.89%
Cash to close
$16,212
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $58k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-77 ($-923/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $47k (19.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $58k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $47k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $400 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#11 in UT, #457 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+.
Davis District (suburban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #28 of 80 in UT (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Vae View School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #542 of 585 statewide, top 93%, 340 students, 51% FRL); North Davis Jr High (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #101 of 138 statewide, top 73%, 924 students, 46% FRL); Northridge High (math 24% / reading 43%, grade F, #106 of 171 statewide, top 62%, 1,954 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools average 40% FRL vs 19% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Davis District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 60% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,461 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davis County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PJWBWT5G5FXKWS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29