3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,280 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Condo
· Active
· 156 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,948/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,352
Tax + insurance
−$1,124
HOA
−$635
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,249
Net cashflow
$-1,413/mo
Annual
$-16,955/yr
Cap rate
4.25%
Cash-on-cash
-7.30%
DSCR
0.68
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$232,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $830k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $580k (30.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $595k (28.3% below list).
It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($730k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $580k (30.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $37k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 53/100 on livability (#968 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gerald R. Ford Elementary (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #973 of 1,571 statewide, top 73%, 603 students, 59% FRL); La Quinta Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 754 students, 83% FRL); Palm Desert High (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #256 of 1,170 statewide, top 24%, 2,050 students, 57% FRL).
Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $475k; list at $830k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$60k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 1.5% in Indian Wells — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($163k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-PKJG2G61RCR73D
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29