6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,352 sqft ·
Built 1967
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,424/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,195
Tax + insurance
−$1,698
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,559
Net cashflow
$-28/mo
Annual
$-339/yr
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.20%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$224,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $800k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-339/yr) — negative. Per door: $-14/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $795k (0.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $742k (7.2% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $742k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#487 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, amenities B+; Watch: housing D+, commute F, cost of living F.
New Rochelle City School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #171 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.5% in New Rochelle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,424/mo this rent would consume 104% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 2797% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PMZC7W4GKJWDR2
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29