12 bd · 6.0 ba ·
4,704 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,228/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,360
Tax + insurance
−$816
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$888
Net cashflow
$164/mo
Annual
$1,966/yr
Cap rate
6.91%
Cash-on-cash
2.19%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$126,000
Investor read
This is a 12-bed/6.0-bath multifamily listed at $450k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $423k (6.0% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $423k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#218 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Bourbon County (town): math 26% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #108 of 165 in KY (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Bourbon Central Elementary School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #393 of 676 statewide, top 63%, 483 students, 70% FRL); Bourbon County Middle School (math 25% / reading 38%, grade F, #125 of 217 statewide, top 63%, 593 students, 63% FRL); Bourbon County High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #127 of 254 statewide, top 58%, 790 students, 53% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Bourbon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.0% in Paris — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,228/mo this rent would consume 80% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 509% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Exterior paint
— Slight discoloration visible on siding.
Minor: Landscaping
— Some areas could use trimming and additional plants.
Minor: Interior paint
— Slight wear visible on walls and trim.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29