3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,488 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,912/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$315
Tax + insurance
−$54
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$401
Net cashflow
$1,142/mo
Annual
$13,701/yr
Cap rate
29.13%
Cash-on-cash
81.55%
DSCR
4.63
1% rule
3.19%
Cash to close
$16,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#58 in KY, #1,070 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Newport Independent (suburban): math 14% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #160 of 165 in KY (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Newport High School (math 16% / reading 28%, grade F, #202 of 254 statewide, top 82%, 579 students, 84% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 247 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (77 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 29.1% vs local median 4.9% in Newport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PNN5C89FJS1TBV
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29