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23 Laycock Ln
B- Composite 69.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

23 Laycock Ln · Newport, KY 41071
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,488 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1952 6,098 sqft lot $40/sqft · 73% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Your next investment opportunity is here! Cash, as is. New roof.

Key facts

  • New roof
  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

NEW ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage; Off-street parking; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Built in 1952; Concrete construction; Shingle roof; Poured concrete foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.14 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (approx. 10 x 12)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (approx. 12 x 13)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Primary bath (approx. 5 x 8); Additional bathrooms (approx. 10 x 11 and 4 x 7.5)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Living room (approx. 12 x 16); Dining room (approx. 10 x 12); Additional bathroom spaces (multiple bathrooms described below)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 29.1% vs local median 4.9% in Newport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#58 in KY, #1,070 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Newport Independent (suburban): math 14% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #160 of 165 in KY (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Newport High School (math 16% / reading 28%, grade F, #202 of 254 statewide, top 82%, 579 students, 84% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 247 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (77 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $58,200 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.19%
Cap rate
29.13%
Cash-on-cash
81.55%
DSCR
4.63
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$219,690
List price
$60,000
Delta
-72.69%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2318 Macarthur Ln 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,438 (-3%) 3mo $285,000 $198 78
222 Beech Rd 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,532 (+3%) 4mo $239,900 $157 62
63 Parkview Ave 0.65mi 3/2.5 1,452 (-2%) 2mo $288,000 $198 60
2318 Joyce Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,325 (-11%) 5mo $252,500 $191 60
2413 Joyce Ave 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,304 (-12%) 6mo $277,000 $212 57
103 W Walnut St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,579 (+6%) 0mo $286,500 $181 57
39 19th St 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,590 (+7%) 4mo $260,000 $164 56
7 Parkview Ave 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,395 (-6%) 0mo $259,900 $186 56
64 Parkview Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,620 (+9%) 2mo $130,000 $80 52
1157 Park Ave 0.66mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,564 (+5%) 4mo $290,000 $185 50
110 Maple Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,700 (+14%) 1mo $260,000 $153 42
94 Home St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,288 (-13%) 2mo $210,000 $163 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
83.6%
Equity multiple
4.94×
Total profit
$66,201
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
87.2%
Equity multiple
10.81×
Total profit
$164,889
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41071

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
236
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,912 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $348/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$401
Net cashflow
$1,142

Break-even live

Break-even rent $467
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 35%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
35 Gettysburg Square Rd Fort Thomas, KY 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,630 $2.04 2d 29 0.48mi
3949 Vision CIR Southgate, KY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1132 $2,515 $2.22 1d 10 0.55mi
1044 Washington Ave #2 Newport, KY 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,800 $1.44 43d 1 0.85mi
40 Edwards Ct Fort Thomas, KY 2.0 1.0 1013 $2,100 $2.07 1d 1 0.87mi
929 Boone St Newport, KY 2.0 2.0 1458 $1,495 $1.03 43d 1 0.96mi
926 Ravine Cir Southgate, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 954 $1,634 $1.71 2d 6 1.06mi
814 Washington Ave Unit 2 Newport, KY 2.0 2.0 1450 $1,500 $1.03 23d 1 1.11mi
911 Putnam St #2 Newport, KY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 21d 1 1.13mi
128 W 9th St Newport, KY 2.0 1.0 1012 $1,650 $1.63 2d 1 1.20mi
203 W 8th St Newport, KY 2.0 1.5 1456 $2,300 $1.58 21d 1 1.33mi
809 Isabella St Newport, KY 2.0 2.0 1519 $2,200 $1.45 43d 1 1.34mi
1700 Aspen Pines Dr Wilder, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1420 $2,365 $1.67 1d 14 1.35mi
327 Covert Run Pike Unit 1 Bellevue, KY 2.0 2.0 1580 $1,850 $1.17 23d 1 1.40mi
239 Grandview Ave Bellevue, KY 2.0 2.0 1093 $1,645 $1.50 4d 2 1.46mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $60,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 37 DOM
  14. 2026-04-23
    listed $60,000 Active 65-char remark
  15. 2002-07-01
    soldstatus $66,500
  16. 1991-11-19
    soldstatus $20,000
  17. 1987-09-21
    soldstatus $37,000
  18. 1985-06-17
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$348 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$516 · $43/mo
Expected delta
+$168/yr (+$14/mo · 48.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,942
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$348
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,835
− Management
−$1,835
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$13,517
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,244
After-tax cash flow
$10,457/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newport Independent
NCES district ID
2104440
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,783
Composite
16.51/100
National rank
#9182
State rank
#160 of 165 in KY

Livability — Newport

Score
82/100
State rank
#58
US rank
#1070

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newport, KY
County
Campbell County · 84,793 people
City population
19,680
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
19,680
Household income
$59,976
Rent vs Own
47.3% rent · 52.7% own
Severe rent burden
1136.0

Population outlook (Campbell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,668 people
By 2030
96,886 · +1.3%
By 2040
97,734 · +2.2%
By 2050
96,413 · +0.8%
By 2075
90,211 · -5.7%
By 2100
79,434 · -17.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Campbell

2024 margin
R (+19.7) · D 39.2% · R 58.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
+1.2pp toward D · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -19.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.8 2008: R+20.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -193.38%
Current HPI
244.9069
Rent YoY
▲ 4.64%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+71.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $60,000 NKMLS
  • 2002-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $66,500 Public Records
  • 1991-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 1987-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 1985-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $348 · -6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…