1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
420 sqft ·
Built 1982
· Manufactured
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$766/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$364
Tax + insurance
−$55
HOA
−$50
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$161
Net cashflow
$136/mo
Annual
$1,629/yr
Cap rate
8.64%
Cash-on-cash
8.37%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$19,460
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($766 rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($481 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#134 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Quartzsite Elementary District (4511) (rural): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #405 of 501 in AZ (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Quartzsite Elementary School (math 10% / reading 30%); Salome High School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #298 of 381 statewide, top 90%, 126 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools at 80% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in La Paz County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
La Paz County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.3% in Quartzsite — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PP0JHQBMZE7PQZ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29