3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,688/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$200
HOA
−$51
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$354
Net cashflow
$-19/mo
Annual
$-231/yr
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.39%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-231/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (1.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (19.6% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $169k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Blue Springs R-IV (suburban): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #17 of 324 in MO (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Chapel Lakes Elem. (math 74% / reading 71%, grade A, #19 of 1,115 statewide, top 2%, 602 students, 14% FRL); Blue Springs South High (math 43% / reading 72%, grade C, #49 of 521 statewide, top 9%, 2,261 students, 22% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 231 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.6% in Lee's Summit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($118k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PPBTSQAYJFEP8T
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29