4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,136 sqft ·
Built 1923
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 74 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,768/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,637
Tax + insurance
−$1,792
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,421
Net cashflow
$-2,082/mo
Annual
$-24,984/yr
Cap rate
3.97%
Cash-on-cash
-8.30%
DSCR
0.63
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$301,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $1.07M. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-25k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $774k (28.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $677k (37.0% below list).
It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.01M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $677k (37.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $32k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Joseph Le Conte Middle (659 students, 94% FRL); Valley Academy of Arts And Sciences (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #578 of 1,170 statewide, top 51%, 868 students, 64% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 149 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 86d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 2.2% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,768/mo this rent would consume 132% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29