3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,902 sqft ·
Built 1890
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,153/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$391
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$662
Net cashflow
$1,156/mo
Annual
$13,872/yr
Cap rate
14.00%
Cash-on-cash
27.54%
DSCR
2.23
1% rule
1.75%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $180k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $578/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $164k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.7%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 5.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,153/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 935% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of replacement
Minor: kitchen backsplash
— tile in good condition
Minor: interior walls
— paint needs touch-up
CashFlowRE · CFR-PQ46H4DA9PVK2J
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29