2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,158 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 105 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,090/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$269
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$439
Net cashflow
$386/mo
Annual
$4,629/yr
Cap rate
8.73%
Cash-on-cash
8.70%
DSCR
1.39
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$53,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $173k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $135k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.1% in Mount Pocono — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PQA7ZN30FQWXP3
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29