3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1989
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,124/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,411
Tax + insurance
−$384
HOA
−$173
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$446
Net cashflow
$-289/mo
Annual
$-3,472/yr
Cap rate
5.00%
Cash-on-cash
-4.61%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$75,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $269k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-289 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $218k (19.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (21.0% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($265k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $212k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#532 in PA, #4,925 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 247 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $172k; list at $269k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 4.0% in Pocono Pines — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PR5KZX8E1K6A33
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29