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409 Quaker Ct 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 44.68
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0

$269,000

409 Quaker Ct · Pocono Pines, PA 18347
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1989 0.33 ac lot $280/sqft · 44% above area Est $373k · 28% under $173/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Today is your day. Spacious, ready to move in or send your favorite tenant. Two story, functions perfectly for a crowd, light, bright and up-dated. Four Bedrooms, three baths and an surprising amount of ''Space to Play''. Large decking for your outside fun. Located in Arrowhead Lake, a four season recreational development. That plan for rental success you have in your head, Arrowhead is actually ready to impliment that plan you have. Go directly ''#Up The Poconos'' ! I'll see you there.

Key facts

  • Large decking
  • Arrowhead lake
  • Two story

Tags

TWO STORYLARGE DECKINGARROWHEAD LAKE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed for residential and investment use; Lot approximately 0.33 acres (68' x 195' x 74' x 204'); Subdivision: Arrowhead Lakes
  • HOA & community: Part of a homeowners association (Arrowhead Lakes); Annual association fee; Association amenities include security, gated entry, clubhouse, playground, fitness center, tennis courts, basketball court, other game courts, and a pool; Association fee covers trash, snow removal, and grounds maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage; Open parking with approximately 45 spaces; Driveway; Gravel parking; Off-street, private parking; Garage faces front
  • Utilities: Well water; Propane service; 200+ amp electric service
  • Home design: Single-family house; 2 stories; Ground-level entry; Residential property used as residential and investment; No common walls; Central living area accessibility feature
  • Construction: Asbestos shingle roof; Slab foundation; Construction materials: Unknown; Built as a house (structure type)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Sliding doors; Level, wooded lot; Gravel road frontage on a private maintained road; Private road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Eat-in kitchen
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Laminate countertops; Partially furnished; Double-pane, insulated windows; Living room fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located in bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $269,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$372,712) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $269k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-289 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $218k (19.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (21.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 4.0% in Pocono Pines — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#532 in PA, #4,925 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 247 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($265k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $172k; list at $269k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $212,396 (21.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.00%
Cash-on-cash
-4.61%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$372,712
List price
$269,000
Delta
-27.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5345 Conoquenissing Dr 0.02mi 3/1.5 864 (-10%) 2mo $224,500 $260 81
162 Safro Ct 0.37mi 3/1.0 960 (0%) 8mo $245,000 $255 74
169 Minisink Dr 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,044 (+9%) 3mo $260,000 $249 71
192 Wyalusing Dr 0.42mi 3/1.0 992 (+3%) 6mo $237,000 $239 68
146 Outer Dr 0.32mi 3/1.0 912 (-5%) 9mo $225,000 $247 67
272 Wyalusing Dr 0.24mi 3/1.0 865 (-10%) 5mo $215,000 $249 66
433 Orono Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+5%) 9mo $190,000 $188 58
1119 Shasta Dr 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 941 (-2%) 6mo $225,000 $239 54
5110 Tenicum Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 864 (-10%) 1mo $230,000 $266 53
201 Pontiac Path 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,092 (+14%) 5mo $255,000 $234 46
323 Orono Dr 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (+15%) 5mo $212,000 $193 41
202 Choctaw Dr 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,100 (+15%) 7mo $270,000 $245 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.3%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-44,263
Equity at exit
$58,889
10-year hold
IRR
-7.3%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-45,689
Equity at exit
$56,824

Cash invested: $75,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18347

Home prices YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
247
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,124 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,411
Tax from tax record
$271 /mo · $3,258/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$173
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$446
Net cashflow
$-289

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,490
Max offer price $217,895
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,250
Closing costs
$8,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$173 · $2,076/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $269,000 Pending 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $269,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $269,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-05-13
    listed $269,000 Active 492-char remark
  7. 2007-03-30
    soldstatus $172,000
  8. 2002-12-03
    soldstatus $115,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,258 · $271/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,754 · $313/mo
Expected delta
+$496/yr (+$41/mo · 15.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,488
− Mortgage interest
−$15,068
− Property taxes
−$3,258
− Insurance
−$1,345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,039
− Management
−$2,039
− HOA
−$2,076
− Depreciation
−$7,825
Taxable loss
−$8,163
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,959
After-tax cash flow
$-1,512/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Pocono Pines

Score
74/100
State rank
#532
US rank
#4925

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
595
Population (ZIP)
3,535

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 2% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.47%
Current HPI
202.3693
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+133.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $269,000 PMAR
  • 2007-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $172,000 Public Records
  • 2002-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,258 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…