3313 N 68th St #120

Scottsdale, AZ 85251

$159,900D+

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 649 sqft · Built 1971 · Condo · Active · 125 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,663/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$839
• Tax + insurance: −$266
• HOA: −$329
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$349
• Net cashflow: $-120/mo
• Annual: $-1,443/yr
• Cap rate: 5.39%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.22%
• DSCR: 0.86
• 1% rule: 1.04%
• Cash to close: $44,772

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-120 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (10.9% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
• It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
• Scottsdale Unified District (4240) (urban): math 53% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #30 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Tavan Elementary School (math 56% / reading 51%, grade C, #224 of 1,109 statewide, top 20%, 608 students, 59% FRL); Ingleside Middle School (math 46% / reading 50%, grade C-, #35 of 218 statewide, top 16%, 777 students, 40% FRL); Coronado High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #343 of 381 statewide, top 93%, 740 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 21% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 54% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Scottsdale Unified District (4240) average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 819 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 104d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.5% in Scottsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?