2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1982
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,468/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$83
HOA
−$1,100
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$518
Net cashflow
$505/mo
Annual
$6,055/yr
Cap rate
18.43%
Cash-on-cash
43.34%
DSCR
2.93
1% rule
4.95%
Cash to close
$13,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $505 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#269 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Howard County Public Schools (suburban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #1 of 24 in MD (top 4%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Long Reach High (math 46% / reading 64%, grade C, #88 of 222 statewide, top 40%, 1,714 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 15% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 55% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Howard County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: HOA is 45% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 125 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 881 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (285 in 5+ unit buildings).
Howard County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 2.7% in Ilchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PRS2JKDG8MKKTE
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29