6505 Vert Dr · Ilchester, MD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
All buyers must be approved by the park. Financing available through mobile home lenders, or cash offers welcome. This is a single wide being sold strictly As-Is. .. Located in the sought-after Deep Run Mobile Home Park, offering an affordable housing option in a convenient location. Street parking available. Community amenities include a swimming pool and tot lots. Close to schools, parks, shopping, and restaurants. Minutes from Rt 95 and Rt 100.
Key facts
- Close to parks
- Close to schools
- Community amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA fee of $1,100 paid monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; 2 driveway spaces (2 total garage/parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single wide; Estimated year built
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Flat roof; Above-grade structures
- Exterior features: Community pool; Located in Deep Run Park; Outside city limits
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane (leased) heating fuel; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Estimated living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $505 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 2.7% in Ilchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#269 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Howard County Public Schools (suburban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #1 of 24 in MD (top 4%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Long Reach High (math 46% / reading 64%, grade C, #88 of 222 statewide, top 40%, 1,714 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 15% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 55% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Howard County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 125 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 881 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (285 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Howard County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 45% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.34%
- DSCR
- 2.93
- GRM
- 1.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $112,782
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- -55.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6672 Aspern Dr | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+3%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $233 | 74 |
| 6656 Aspern Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 980 (+9%) | 22mo | $145,000 | $148 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $19,420
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 39.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.88×
- Total profit
- $40,204
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21075
- Home prices YoY
- -30.6%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 1.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,468 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$1,100
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$518
- Net cashflow
- $505
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8151 Robinson Jefferson Dr Elkridge, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 959 | $2,793 | $2.91 | 2d | 22 | 0.26mi |
| 6731 Old Waterloo Rd Elkridge, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $2,134 | $2.08 | 1d | 62 | 0.40mi |
| 7671 Coachlight Ln Unit 21E-U Ellicott City, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1105 | $2,450 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 6081 Otterbein Ln Ellicott City, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1066 | $2,819 | $2.64 | 2d | 32 | 1.13mi |
| 7141 Beverly Dr Elkridge, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 881 | $1,604 | $1.82 | 20d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 7691 Mandrake Ct Elkridge, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1131 | $3,399 | $3.01 | 2d | 24 | 1.24mi |
| 7600 Hearthside Way Elkridge, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 953 | $2,680 | $2.81 | 3d | 23 | 1.28mi |
| 7500 Hearthside Way Elkridge, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 924 | $2,430 | $2.63 | 2d | 16 | 1.29mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $1,100 · $13,200/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 14 events
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2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $49,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $55,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-04-26$55,000 Active 451-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,612
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,369
- − Management
- −$2,369
- − HOA
- −$13,200
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $6,429
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,543
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,512/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This single-wide mobile home is in good condition with cosmetic updates, ready for a new owner.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
- Resale Update countertops and backsplash — Modernizes kitchen and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
- Resale Update countertops and backsplash — Modernizes kitchen and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Howard County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400420
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $108,056
- Composite
- 41.23/100
- National rank
- #3535
- State rank
- #1 of 24 in MD
Livability — Ilchester
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #269
- US rank
- #13652
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ilchester, MD
- County
- Howard County · 282,651 people
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,363
- Household income
- $135,303
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1346.0
Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 367,857 people
- By 2030
- 394,054 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 443,509 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 488,124 · +32.7%
- By 2075
- 594,860 · +61.7%
- By 2100
- 648,772 · +76.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Black 26% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Howard
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+41.8) · D 69.1% · R 27.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +19.9pp toward D · 2008: 21.9pp · 2024: 41.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+41.8 2020: D+44.3 2016: D+33.5 2012: D+21.2 2008: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -117.78%
- Current HPI
- 267.5936
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.80%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-9.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-26 Listed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…