2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,300 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 266 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,043/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$200
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$219
Net cashflow
$-5/mo
Annual
$-66/yr
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.20%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-66/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (0.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (13.1% below list).
It's been on market 266 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $104k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 45/100 on livability (#453 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, schools A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Jefferson Davis Parish (town): math 30% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 98 in LA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Jefferson Davis Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson Davis County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 266 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: bathroom vanity
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: landscaping
— some overgrown areas
CashFlowRE · CFR-PRYJ45ABJ2QNFY
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29