4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,064 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,076/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$109
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$226
Net cashflow
$86/mo
Annual
$1,034/yr
Cap rate
7.12%
Cash-on-cash
2.95%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (13.9% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $108k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#733 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
Trenton R-IX (town): math 28% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #223 of 324 in MO (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Grundy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grundy County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PS4XGN78B6DA2R
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29