4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,848 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Land
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,631/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,972
Tax + insurance
−$410
HOA
−$117
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$552
Net cashflow
$-421/mo
Annual
$-5,049/yr
Cap rate
4.95%
Cash-on-cash
-4.80%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$105,280
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $376k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-421 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $302k (19.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (30.0% below list).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($353k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $263k (30.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#405 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Groveland Elementary School (math 30% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,854 of 2,144 statewide, top 87%, 744 students, 63% FRL); South Lake High School (math 36% / reading 39%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 2,169 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lake average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 585 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PT2STXEEDRXS29
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29