3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,377 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 89 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,899/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$573
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$399
Net cashflow
$-227/mo
Annual
$-2,723/yr
Cap rate
5.06%
Cash-on-cash
-4.42%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-227 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (18.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (13.7% below list).
It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $180k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Keller ISD (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #91 of 826 in TX (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Parkview El (math 34% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,965 of 4,322 statewide, top 46%, 668 students, 64% FRL); Fossil Hill Middle (math 32% / reading 43%, grade F, #736 of 1,662 statewide, top 45%, 838 students, 61% FRL); Fossil Ridge H S (math 41% / reading 55%, grade D, #571 of 1,632 statewide, top 36%, 2,329 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 19% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 212 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29