68 Poplar Park Dr

Kennebunk, ME 04090

$174,000B

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Built 1996 · Manufactured · Pending · 36 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,511/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$912
• Tax + insurance: −$147
• HOA: −$360
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$527
• Net cashflow: $565/mo
• Annual: $6,774/yr
• Cap rate: 10.19%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.90%
• DSCR: 1.62
• 1% rule: 1.44%
• Cash to close: $48,720

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $174k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $565 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $174k).
• It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $169k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#20 in ME, #2,049 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Wells-Ogunquit CSD (rural): math 87% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #32 of 112 in ME (top 29%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: 267 active listings in the ZIP; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.2% in Kennebunk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.