3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,014 sqft ·
Built 2006
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 97 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,015/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,358
Tax + insurance
−$263
HOA
−$14
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$423
Net cashflow
$-43/mo
Annual
$-514/yr
Cap rate
6.09%
Cash-on-cash
-0.71%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$72,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $259k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-514/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $251k (2.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (22.2% below list).
It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#25 in NC, #2,391 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D.
Wake County Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #35 of 178 in NC (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Lake Myra Elementary (math 23% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,007 of 1,410 statewide, top 72%, 648 students, 55% FRL); Wendell Middle (math 21% / reading 39%, grade F, #335 of 475 statewide, top 72%, 719 students, 68% FRL); East Wake High (math 51% / reading 44%, grade D, #331 of 535 statewide, top 62%, 1,646 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 30% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 56% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Wake County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 399 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,249 units permitted in Wake County in 2024 (5,568 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wake County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $170k; list at $259k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.7% in Wendell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PWN7GEDY3Z4FTH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29